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“统计大讲堂”第218讲预告:基于数据结合的长期因果效应的识别与推断

2023-05-06

报告时间📖:2023年5月8日

                上午9:30-10:30

报告地点:北京AG尊龙凯时平台娱乐登录官方网站明德主楼1016

              (腾讯会议ID⛅️:863-772-470)

报告嘉宾:毛小介

报告主题🧑🏿‍🎄:Identification and Estimation of Long-term Causal Inference via Data Combination


报告摘要

Identification and Estimation of Long-term Causal Inference via Data Combination

In this talk, I will talk about the problem of identifying and estimating the treatment effect of a certain intervention (e.g., a product design or a therapy) on some long-term outcome of interest (e.g., users' long-term satisfaction or patients' long-term health). This problem is very challenging: randomized experiments are often expensive and have short durations, so long-term outcome observations may not be available; observational studies can be cheaper and more likely to collect observations for long-term outcomes, but they are susceptible to confounding bias. In the first part of this talk, I will review some very recent literature that address this challenge by combining experimental and observational data and leveraging their complementary strengths. I will discuss major assumptions in the literature and discuss their strengths and limitations. In the second part of this talk, I will present my latest work on long-term causal inference under a confounding model more general than those in the existing literature.


作者简介

毛小介,清华大学经管学院管理科学与工程系助理教授🟨。2016年获武汉大学数理经济与数理金融学士学位🌉,2021年获得美国康奈尔大学统计与数据科学博士学位。主要研究方向为因果推断、数据驱动的决策理论与方法✍️,研究涉及统计学、 运筹学、机器学习等多个领域♏️🚛。相关研究成果发表于Operations Research、Management Science、Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS)、International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)、International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics (AISTATS)等国际知名学术期刊和学术会议。

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